Index
Citation·page:philip-tetlock:fn10
Philip Tetlock - Footnote 10
Verdictpartial80%
1 check · 4/29/20261 → partial
Our claim
entire recordNo record data available.
Source evidence
1 src · 1 checkpartial80%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
NoteThe claim states the tournament was from 2011-2015, but the source only says it was a 'four-year geopolitical forecasting tournament' without specifying the exact years. The claim states that the tournament involved 'thousands of forecasters making over one million predictions', but the source does not provide specific numbers for the number of forecasters or predictions made.
Case № page:philip-tetlock:fn10Filed 4/29/2026Confidence 80%