Citation·page:philip-tetlock:fn72

Philip Tetlock - Footnote 72

Verdictpartial85%

1 check · 4/29/2026

1 → partial

Our claim

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Source evidence

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www.founderspledge.com/research/prof-philip-tetlocks-forecasting-research

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe claim mentions 'systematic post-mortems', but the source only mentions a 'post-mortem piece on 2016 election forecasts co-authored by Dr. Scoblic'. This is not necessarily 'systematic'. The claim mentions 'EA priorities', but the source does not explicitly mention 'EA priorities'. It does mention 'global catastrophic risks', which are related to EA priorities.

Case № page:philip-tetlock:fn72Filed 4/29/2026Confidence 85%