Index
Citation·page:polymarket:fn24
Polymarket - Footnote 24
Verdictpartial85%
1 check · 4/29/20261 → partial
Our claim
entire recordNo record data available.
Source evidence
1 src · 1 checkpartial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
NoteThe source does not mention the specific amount of predictions made during 2024, only that there was a 48x surge in trading volume. The source does not mention research published in May 2024 that found Polymarket outperformed traditional polling in predicting the election outcome, particularly in swing states, adjusting dynamically to real-world events like assassination attempts and debate performances while polling remained relatively static.
Case № page:polymarket:fn24Filed 4/29/2026Confidence 85%