Citation·page:polymarket:fn49

Polymarket - Footnote 49

Verdictpartial85%

1 check · 4/29/2026

1 → partial

Our claim

entire record

No record data available.

Source evidence

1 src · 1 check

coincodex.com/article/65963/is-polymarket-accurate/

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe source does not state that the platform tends to overestimate probabilities by approximately 2 points across ranges. It provides accuracy percentages at different timeframes before market resolution. The claim mentions 'NFL games' as an event type, but the source only mentions 'sports' generally.

Case № page:polymarket:fn49Filed 4/29/2026Confidence 85%