Samotsvety - Footnote 15

NoteWRONG NUMBERS: The wiki claim states the group released timelines for transformative AI (28% by 2030, 60% by 2050, 89% by 2100). The source only mentions 81% chance of Transformative AI (TAI) by 2100. WRONG NUMBERS: The wiki claim states the group released estimates of misaligned AI takeover (25% by 2100). The source states 25% chance of misaligned AI takeover by 2100.

NoteWRONG NUMBERS: The claim states '28% by 2030, 60% by 2050, 89% by 2100' for transformative AI timelines, but the source only provides a figure of 81% by 2100. WRONG NUMBERS: The claim states 'Throughout 2023-2024', but the source is dated later than this. MISLEADING PARAPHRASE: The claim mentions 'influential AI risk forecasts', which is a subjective assessment not directly supported by the source. The source presents the forecasts without explicitly labeling them as 'influential'. FABRICATED DETAILS: The claim includes specific timelines for transformative AI (28% by 2030, 60% by 2050) that are not found in the source.