Citation·page:samotsvety:fn27

Samotsvety - Footnote 27

Verdictpartial85%

2 checks · 1 src · 4/29/2026

1 → contradicted; dissent: 1 → partial

Our claim

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Source evidence

1 src · 2 checks

epoch.ai/blog/literature-review-of-transformative-artificial-intelligence-timelines resource

contradicted30%citation-accuracy-check · 4/20/2026

Noteunsupported unsupported unsupported

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe source does not explicitly state that the shift to inside-view models 'shortened their estimated timelines compared to earlier reports.' It only mentions that inside-view models generally predict shorter timelines. The source does not provide an exact '81% chance of TAI by 2100 when accounting for the possibility of civilization-ending catastrophes before TAI development.' The highest probability of TAI by 2100 listed in the document is 97% from Ajeya Cotra's forecast.

Case № page:samotsvety:fn27Filed 4/29/2026Confidence 30%