Index
RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI)
Verdictconfirmed95%
1 check · 4/29/20261 → confirmed
Our claim
entire record- Slug
- rand-forecasting
- Parent Org
- RAND Corporation
- Name
- RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI)
- Division Type
- program-area
- Status
- active
- Notes
- Crowdsourced forecasts including superforecasters on AI timelines and geopolitical AI developments.
Source evidence
1 src · 1 checkconfirmed95%Haiku 4.5 · 4/24/2026
NoteAll three key fields are confirmed by the source: (1) Name 'RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI)' is explicitly stated in the page title and throughout; (2) Type 'program-area' is appropriate as RFI is described as a program/initiative within RAND's organizational structure under 'RAND Global and Emerging Risks'; (3) Status 'active' is confirmed by the present-tense description of ongoing operations, current leadership, active recruitment of forecasters, and recent dated content (Dec 2025, Feb 2025, etc.). The source is a current webpage (archived March 11, 2026) describing RFI's active operations.
Case № iBFEUcKCAOFiled 4/29/2026Confidence 95%