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OpenAI — Revenue Guidance: $30B

Verdictconfirmed95%
1 check · 9/21/2026

1 → confirmed

Our claim

entire record
Subject
OpenAI
Property
Revenue Guidance
Value
$30B
As Of
January 2026
Notes
2026 revenue projection of ~$30B (2.3x growth from 2025's $13.1B); 2027 projected at ~$62B (2x), 2028 at ~$100B (1.6x), 2030 target $280B per CFO Sarah Friar

Source evidence

1 src · 1 check
confirmed95%primaryHaiku 4.5 · 9/21/2026

NoteThe source directly confirms the 2026 revenue projection. The text states: 'OpenAI expects to make $13 billion in revenue in 2025 and projects to grow its revenue by 2.3× in 2026.' This 2.3× growth from $13.1B yields approximately $30.13 billion for 2026, which matches the claimed value of $30 billion (exact stored value: 30,000,000,000). The source also confirms the 2028 projection of $100 billion. The claim's additional context about 2027 (~$62B) and 2030 ($280B per CFO Sarah Friar) is not explicitly mentioned in this source excerpt, but the core 2026 figure of ~$30B is directly supported. The temporal reference 'as of 2026-01' aligns with the source's discussion of Q3 2025 projections for 2026.

Case № f_3L0CrXb8fgFiled 9/21/2026Confidence 95%