Fact·f_jEA5GR8mMn·Fact

XPT (Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament) — Founded Date: 2022

Verdictconfirmed95%

1 check · 5/18/2026

1 → confirmed

Our claim

entire record

Subject: XPT (Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament)
Property: Founded Date
Value: 2022
Source: https://forecastingresearch.org/xpt
Notes: Ran in 2022 with 169 participants across superforecasters and domain experts

Source evidence

1 src · 1 check

forecastingresearch.org/xpt resource

confirmed95%primaryHaiku 4.5 · 5/18/2026

NoteThe source directly confirms that the XPT ran in 2022 with 169 participants (80 experts + 89 superforecasters = 169 total). The claim states the founded/ran date as 2022 with 169 participants, which matches the source exactly. The source does not explicitly state a 'founding date' as a separate concept from when it 'ran,' but the context makes clear the tournament occurred in 2022 with the stated participant count.

Case № f_jEA5GR8mMnFiled 5/18/2026Confidence 95%