Robin Hanson — Notable For: Pioneered prediction markets (since 1988); invented Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR); proposed futarchy governance; originated Great Filter hypothesis; authored The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain; 5,200+ citations

NoteThe source confirms most claims: prediction markets since 1988 (confirmed), LMSR invention (confirmed), The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain authorship (confirmed), Great Filter hypothesis origination (confirmed). However, the source does not mention futarchy governance at all, making that claim unverifiable from this source. Most critically, the source states Robin has '4754 citations' while the claim asserts '5,200+ citations (as of 2026-03)'. The source appears to be current (references 2008 onward), but does not provide a 2026-03 date. The citation count discrepancy (4,754 vs 5,200+) is a material difference of ~446 citations (~9.4% gap), which falls within approximate range but the claim's specific date (2026-03) cannot be verified against this source. This is 'partial' because most elements are confirmed but the citation count and futarchy claim are not fully verified.