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Fact·f_rH6tN2pQ2v·Fact

Robin Hanson — Notable For: Pioneered prediction markets (since 1988); invented Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR); proposed futarchy governance; originated Great Filter hypothesis; authored The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain; 5,200+ citations

Verdictpartial85%
1 check · 5/18/2026

1 → partial

Our claim

entire record
Subject
Robin Hanson
Property
Notable For
Value
Pioneered prediction markets (since 1988); invented Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR); proposed futarchy governance; originated Great Filter hypothesis; authored The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain; 5,200+ citations
As Of
March 2026
Notes
Enriched from wiki page

Source evidence

1 src · 1 check
partial85%primaryHaiku 4.5 · 5/18/2026

NoteThe source confirms five of six elements in the claim: prediction markets (1988), LMSR invention, The Age of Em, The Elephant in the Brain, and Great Filter hypothesis are all explicitly mentioned and match the claim. However, there is a discrepancy in the citation count. The source states 'Robin has 4754 citations' while the claim asserts '5,200+ citations (as of 2026-03)'. The source does not provide a date for when the 4,754 figure was recorded. Since the claim specifies 'as of 2026-03' and the source appears to be a static biography page without a clear timestamp, this could represent an outdated source value rather than a contradiction. However, 4,754 is notably lower than 5,200+, and without confirmation that the source data is from before March 2026, this cannot be fully confirmed. The claim about futarchy governance is not explicitly mentioned in the source text provided (though it is referenced in one article title: 'The Father of Futarchy Has an Idea to Reshape DAO Governance'), so that element is unverifiable from this source alone.

Case № f_rH6tN2pQ2vFiled 5/18/2026Confidence 85%