Robin Hanson — Notable For: Pioneered prediction markets (since 1988); invented Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR); proposed futarchy governance; originated Great Filter hypothesis; authored The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain; 5,200+ citations

NoteThe source confirms five of six elements: prediction markets (1988), LMSR invention, The Age of Em, The Elephant in the Brain, and Great Filter hypothesis are all explicitly mentioned and match the claim. However, the citation count differs: source states '4754 citations' while claim states '5,200+ citations (as of 2026-03)'. The source does not provide a date for its citation count, and the claim specifies a future date (2026-03). This is a temporal mismatch issue—the source's 4,754 figure appears to be from an earlier snapshot, and the claim's 5,200+ may reflect a more recent count. The claim also mentions 'futarchy governance' which the source references indirectly ('The Father of Futarchy Has an Idea to Reshape DAO Governance' in a linked article title) but does not explicitly state Hanson 'proposed' futarchy in the main text. This partial confirmation of futarchy plus the citation count discrepancy warrants 'partial' rather than 'confirmed'.