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Saul Munn @ Manifest (Forecasting Conference)

Verdictunverifiable85%
2 checks · 1 src · 7/20/2026

1 → unverifiable; stale (excluded): 1 → confirmed

Our claim

entire record
Person
ZNhQhscS53
Role
Organizer
Role Type
career
Start Date
2023
Is Founder
No
Notes
Saul Munn co-authored the Manifest 2023 announcement on LessWrong alongside Austin Chen, indicating direct involvement in organizing the inaugural Manifest forecasting conference in September 2023 in Berkeley, CA.

Source evidence

1 src · 2 checks
unverifiable85%Haiku 4.5 · 7/20/2026

NoteRe-check. Previous verdict: confirmed. Verdict changed.

confirmed95%inline-submission · 4/15/2026
Case № 0wxWXup8V3Filed 7/20/2026Confidence 85%
Source Check: Saul Munn @ Manifest (Forecasting Conference) | Longterm Wiki