Personnel·7IItD92ic3·Record

Stephen Grugett @ Manifest (Forecasting Conference)

Verdictunverifiable85%

2 checks · 1 src · 7/20/2026

1 → unverifiable; stale (excluded): 1 → confirmed

Our claim

entire record

Person: 4LaT0LMUEX
Role: Co-founder and Organizer
Role Type: key-person
Start Date: 2023
Is Founder: Yes
Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6YWCy2RbZQ6A6k5di/announcing-manifest-2023-sep-2…
Notes: Stephen Grugett is CEO of Manifold Markets and co-founder of Manifest conference. Manifold Markets is the primary organizer of Manifest. One of three co-founders alongside Austin Chen and James Grugett. Confirmed via LessWrong announcement.

1 src · 2 checks

unverifiable85%Haiku 4.5 · 7/20/2026

NoteRe-check. Previous verdict: confirmed. Verdict changed.

confirmed95%inline-submission · 4/15/2026

Case № 7IItD92ic3Filed 7/20/2026Confidence 85%