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Barbara Mellers @ Good Judgment (Forecasting)

Verdictpartial75%
2 checks · 1 src · 4/29/2026

2 → partial

Our claim

entire record
Person
3fqe9E1cMj
Role
Co-Founder
Role Type
key-person
Is Founder
Yes
Notes
Barbara A. Mellers co-founded Good Judgment Inc with Philip Tetlock. Confirmed on Wikipedia and Good Judgment website as of 2026-04-16.

Source evidence

1 src · 2 checks
partial75%Haiku 4.5 · 4/27/2026

NoteRe-check. Previous verdict: partial. Verdict unchanged.

partial95%qua650-retro-scan-subject-identity · 4/21/2026

NoteQUA-650 retro-scan: The source is about 'The Good Judgment Project,' a research organization that began in 2011 as part of an IARPA program. The claim is about 'Good Judgment (Forecasting),' which refers to Good Judgment Inc., the commercial spin-off mentioned in the source that started operating in July 2015. These are distinct entities per QUA-648 guidelines (parent/subsidiary mismatch).

Case № fOKn6LCKZzFiled 4/29/2026Confidence 85%
Source Check: Barbara Mellers @ Good Judgment (Forecasting) | Longterm Wiki