Personnel·psZ85tKRL4·Record

Austin Chen @ Manifest (Forecasting Conference)

Verdictunverifiable85%

2 checks · 1 src · 7/20/2026

1 → unverifiable; stale (excluded): 1 → confirmed

Our claim

entire record

Person: nofWRqL7zw
Role: Co-founder and Organizer
Role Type: key-person
Start Date: 2023
Is Founder: Yes
Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6YWCy2RbZQ6A6k5di/announcing-manifest-2023-sep-2…
Notes: Austin Chen co-authored the Manifest 2023 announcement on LessWrong (September 2023) as a co-founder of Manifold Markets, the primary organizer of Manifest. He is credited as a principal organizer of the inaugural Manifest forecasting conference. Confirmed via LessWrong announcement.

1 src · 2 checks

unverifiable85%Haiku 4.5 · 7/20/2026

NoteRe-check. Previous verdict: confirmed. Verdict changed.

confirmed95%inline-submission · 4/15/2026

Case № psZ85tKRL4Filed 7/20/2026Confidence 85%