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Philip Tetlock – Faculty Profile | Penn Integrated Knowledge Professors

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Source IDf0205fb041408b1c
DescriptionThis is the faculty profile of Philip Tetlock, a political psychologist at the University of Pennsylvania known for his research on expert forecasting accuracy and the Good Judgment Project. His work on superforecasting—training ordinary people to make highly accurate geopolitical predictions—has in…
Source URLpikprofessors.upenn.edu/meet-the-professors/philip-tetlock
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CreatedApr 21, 2026, 2:20 AM
UpdatedOct 4, 2026, 2:04 AM
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urlpikprofessors.upenn.edu/meet-the-professors/philip-tetlock
titlePhilip Tetlock – Faculty Profile | Penn Integrated Knowledge Professors
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summaryThis is the faculty profile of Philip Tetlock, a political psychologist at the University of Pennsylvania known for his research on expert forecasting accuracy and the Good Judgment Project. His work on superforecasting—training ordinary people to make highly accurate geopolitical predictions—has in…
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  "Tetlock created the first forecasting competition during the Cold War, leading to landmark research on expert political judgment and its limitations.",
  "The Good Judgment Project, co-led by Tetlock, produced 'superforecasters' whose accuracy exceeded CIA analysts with access to classified inf…
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  "evaluation",
  "governance",
  "policy",
  "coordination",
  "existential-risk",
  "forecasting",
  "decision-making",
  "epistemic-practices"
]
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contextNotePhilip Tetlock's faculty profile covers his research on forecasting accuracy and superforecasting, which is relevant to AI safety for developing rigorous prediction methods for evaluating risks, informing policy decisions, and improving epistemic practices in high-stakes domains.
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