Longterm Wiki

Existential Catastrophe

existential-catastrophe (E130)
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Page Metadata
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Entity Data
{
  "id": "existential-catastrophe",
  "type": "ai-transition-model-scenario",
  "title": "Existential Catastrophe",
  "description": "The probability and severity of catastrophic AI-related events—loss of control, weaponization, large-scale accidents, or irreversible lock-in to harmful power structures.",
  "tags": [
    "ai-transition-model",
    "outcome",
    "x-risk",
    "catastrophe"
  ],
  "relatedEntries": [
    {
      "id": "misalignment-potential",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-factor",
      "relationship": "driver"
    },
    {
      "id": "misuse-potential",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-factor",
      "relationship": "driver"
    },
    {
      "id": "ai-takeover",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-scenario",
      "relationship": "sub-scenario"
    },
    {
      "id": "human-catastrophe",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-scenario",
      "relationship": "sub-scenario"
    },
    {
      "id": "alignment-robustness",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-parameter",
      "relationship": "mitigates"
    }
  ],
  "sources": [],
  "lastUpdated": "2026-01",
  "customFields": [
    {
      "label": "Model Role",
      "value": "Ultimate Outcome"
    },
    {
      "label": "Primary Drivers",
      "value": "Misalignment Potential, Misuse Potential"
    },
    {
      "label": "Risk Character",
      "value": "Tail risk, irreversible"
    }
  ]
}
Canonical Facts (0)

No facts for this entity

External Links
{
  "eaForum": "https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/topics/existential-catastrophe-1",
  "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_catastrophic_risk",
  "eightyK": "https://80000hours.org/articles/existential-risks/"
}
Backlinks (5)
idtitletyperelationship
misalignment-potentialMisalignment Potentialai-transition-model-factordrives
misuse-potentialMisuse Potentialai-transition-model-factordrives
ai-takeoverAI Takeoverai-transition-model-scenariocontributes-to
human-catastropheHuman-Caused Catastropheai-transition-model-scenariocontributes-to
governance-focusedGovernance-Focused Worldviewconcept
Frontmatter
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Raw MDX Source
---
title: Existential Catastrophe
sidebar:
  order: 1
importance: 0
quality: 0
llmSummary: This page contains only a React component placeholder with no actual content visible for evaluation. The component would need to render content dynamically for assessment.
ratings:
  novelty: 0
  rigor: 0
  actionability: 0
  completeness: 0
clusters:
  - ai-safety
subcategory: outcomes
---
import {TransitionModelContent} from '@components/wiki/TransitionModelContent';

<TransitionModelContent entityId="E320" />