Safety-Capability Gap

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{
  "id": "safety-capability-gap",
  "type": "ai-transition-model-parameter",
  "title": "Safety-Capability Gap",
  "description": "The lag between AI capability advances and corresponding safety/alignment understanding. Measures how far safety research trails behind what frontier systems can do.",
  "tags": [
    "safety",
    "technical",
    "governance"
  ],
  "relatedEntries": [
    {
      "id": "racing-dynamics",
      "type": "risk",
      "relationship": "decreases"
    },
    {
      "id": "interpretability",
      "type": "approach",
      "relationship": "supports"
    },
    {
      "id": "alignment-robustness",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-parameter",
      "relationship": "related"
    },
    {
      "id": "racing-intensity",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-parameter",
      "relationship": "related"
    },
    {
      "id": "safety-culture-strength",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-parameter",
      "relationship": "related"
    },
    {
      "id": "alignment-progress",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-metric",
      "relationship": "measured-by"
    },
    {
      "id": "safety-research",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-metric",
      "relationship": "measured-by"
    },
    {
      "id": "capabilities",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-metric",
      "relationship": "measured-by"
    },
    {
      "id": "racing-dynamics-impact",
      "type": "model",
      "relationship": "analyzed-by"
    },
    {
      "id": "safety-capability-tradeoff",
      "type": "model",
      "relationship": "analyzed-by"
    }
  ],
  "sources": [],
  "lastUpdated": "2025-12",
  "customFields": [
    {
      "label": "Direction",
      "value": "Lower is better (want safety close to capabilities)"
    },
    {
      "label": "Current Trend",
      "value": "Widening (safety timelines compressed 70-80% post-ChatGPT)"
    },
    {
      "label": "Key Measurement",
      "value": "Months/years capabilities lead safety research"
    }
  ]
}

No facts for this entity

{
  "eaForum": "https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/topics/differential-progress"
}

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---
title: Safety-Capability Gap
sidebar:
  order: 9
importance: 0
quality: 0
llmSummary: This page contains no actual content - only a React component reference that dynamically loads content from elsewhere in the system. Cannot evaluate substance, methodology, or conclusions without the actual content being rendered.
ratings:
  novelty: 0
  rigor: 0
  actionability: 0
  completeness: 0
clusters:
  - ai-safety
subcategory: factors-misalignment-potential
---
import {TransitionModelContent} from '@components/wiki/TransitionModelContent';

<TransitionModelContent entityId="E344" />