Compute Monitoring

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  "dateCreated": "2026-02-15",
  "summary": "Analyzes two compute monitoring approaches: cloud KYC (implementable in 1-2 years, covers ~60% of frontier training via AWS/Azure/Google) and hardware governance (3-5 year timeline). Cloud KYC targets 10^26 FLOP threshold (~\\$10-100M training cost), but on-premise compute and jurisdictional arbitrage enable evasion; hardware-level monitoring could address this but faces substantial technical challenges.",
  "description": "This framework analyzes compute monitoring approaches for AI governance, finding that cloud KYC (targeting 10^26 FLOP threshold) is implementable now via the three major providers controlling 60%+.",
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