International Compute Regimes

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  "title": "International Compute Regimes",
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  "dateCreated": "2026-02-15",
  "summary": "Comprehensive analysis of international AI compute governance finds 10-25% chance of meaningful regimes by 2035, but potential for 30-60% reduction in racing dynamics if achieved. First binding treaty achieved September 2024 (Council of Europe), though 118 of 193 UN states remain absent from major governance initiatives. Hardware monitoring could achieve 40-70% verification coverage; estimated \\$50-200M investment over 5-10 years required for regime development.",
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