Civilizational Competence

civilizational-competence (E60)

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Entity Data

{
  "id": "civilizational-competence",
  "type": "ai-transition-model-factor",
  "title": "Civilizational Competence",
  "description": "Society's aggregate capacity to navigate AI transition well—including governance effectiveness, epistemic health, coordination capacity, and adaptive resilience.",
  "tags": [
    "ai-transition-model",
    "factor",
    "governance",
    "institutions"
  ],
  "relatedEntries": [
    {
      "id": "long-term-trajectory",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-scenario",
      "relationship": "drives"
    },
    {
      "id": "transition-turbulence",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-factor",
      "relationship": "mitigates"
    },
    {
      "id": "regulatory-capacity",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-parameter",
      "relationship": "composed-of"
    },
    {
      "id": "institutional-quality",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-parameter",
      "relationship": "composed-of"
    },
    {
      "id": "international-coordination",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-parameter",
      "relationship": "composed-of"
    },
    {
      "id": "societal-resilience",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-parameter",
      "relationship": "composed-of"
    },
    {
      "id": "epistemic-health",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-parameter",
      "relationship": "composed-of"
    },
    {
      "id": "societal-trust",
      "type": "ai-transition-model-parameter",
      "relationship": "composed-of"
    }
  ],
  "sources": [],
  "lastUpdated": "2026-01",
  "customFields": [
    {
      "label": "Model Role",
      "value": "Root Factor (Societal)"
    },
    {
      "label": "Key Parameters",
      "value": "Governance, Epistemics, Societal Resilience, Adaptability"
    },
    {
      "label": "Primary Outcomes",
      "value": "Long-term Trajectory, Transition Smoothness"
    }
  ]
}

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Backlinks (2)

id	title	type	relationship
transition-turbulence	Transition Turbulence	ai-transition-model-factor	mitigated-by
long-term-trajectory	Long-term Trajectory	ai-transition-model-scenario	driver

Frontmatter

{
  "numericId": "E664",
  "title": "Civilizational Competence",
  "description": "Root factor measuring humanity's collective ability to navigate AI transition through governance, epistemics, and adaptability.",
  "sidebar": {
    "label": "Overview",
    "order": 0
  },
  "lastEdited": "2026-01-06",
  "subcategory": "factors-civilizational-competence"
}

Raw MDX Source

---
numericId: E664
title: Civilizational Competence
description: Root factor measuring humanity's collective ability to navigate AI transition through governance, epistemics, and adaptability.
sidebar:
  label: Overview
  order: 0
lastEdited: "2026-01-06"
subcategory: factors-civilizational-competence
---
import {DataInfoBox, FactorSubItemsList, PageCauseEffectGraph, EntityLink} from '@components/wiki';

<DataInfoBox entityId="E60" />

Civilizational Competence refers to humanity's collective ability to navigate the AI transition successfully. This encompasses governance capacity, <EntityLink id="E121">epistemic health</EntityLink>, and societal adaptability.

## Key Dimensions

<FactorSubItemsList factorId="civ-competence" />

## Relationship to Scenarios

Civilizational Competence acts as a **protective factor** - higher competence decreases risk across multiple scenarios:

- **AI Takeover**: Better governance and oversight reduces probability
- **Human-Caused Catastrophe**: Better coordination prevents misuse escalation
- **Long-term <EntityLink id="E189">Lock-in</EntityLink>**: Shapes whether lock-in is beneficial or harmful

<PageCauseEffectGraph slug="civilizational-competence" />