Page StatusAI Transition ModelTable
Edited 2 weeks ago28 words
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QualityDraftQuality: 24/100Human-assigned rating of overall page quality, considering depth, accuracy, and completeness.42
ImportanceReferenceImportance: 42/100How central this topic is to AI safety. Higher scores mean greater relevance to understanding or mitigating AI risk.1
Structure1/15Structure: 1/15Automated score based on measurable content features.Word count0/2Tables0/3Diagrams0/2Internal links1/2Citations0/3Prose ratio2/2Overview section0/10TablesData tables in the page0DiagramsCharts and visual diagrams1Internal LinksLinks to other wiki pages0FootnotesFootnote citations [^N] with sources0External LinksMarkdown links to outside URLs%0%Bullet RatioPercentage of content in bullet lists
Updated every 6 weeksDue in 4 weeks
Summary
An interactive sortable table displaying parameters from the AI Transition Model with ratings for changeability, uncertainty, and impact. Links to similar frameworks from Open Philanthropy and other sources for comparison.
Parameter Table
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View:
High X-risk impact (>70)+Click to expand description
Root Factors4 high priority
22 of 22 results
| Technical AI Safety | AIMisalignment Potential | 45 | 60 | 85 | 70 | View → | |
| AI Governance | AIMisalignment Potential | 55 | 50 | 60 | 75 | View → | |
| Lab Safety Practices | AIMisalignment Potential | 65 | 40 | 50 | 45 | View → | |
| Governance | AICivilizational Competence | 35 | 45 | 55 | 70 | View → | |
| Epistemics | AICivilizational Competence | 25 | 55 | 40 | 65 | View → | |
| Adaptability | AICivilizational Competence | 30 | 50 | 50 | 60 | View → | |
| Compute | AIAI Capabilities | — | — | — | — | View → | |
| Algorithms | AIAI Capabilities | 20 | 55 | 75 | 85 | View → | |
| Adoption | AIAI Capabilities | 40 | 40 | 45 | 70 | View → | |
| Economic Stability | SocietyTransition Turbulence | 40 | 50 | 35 | 55 | View → | |
| Racing Intensity | SocietyTransition Turbulence | 50 | 45 | 65 | 50 | View → | |
| Recursive AI Capabilities | AIAI Uses | 35 | 70 | 85 | 90 | View → | |
| Industries | AIAI Uses | 30 | 35 | 30 | 75 | View → | |
| Governments | AIAI Uses | 40 | 50 | 55 | 70 | View → | |
| Coordination | AIAI Uses | 45 | 55 | 40 | 65 | View → | |
| Biological Threat Exposure | SocietyMisuse Potential | 45 | 60 | 80 | 40 | View → | |
| Cyber Threat Exposure | SocietyMisuse Potential | 35 | 50 | 55 | 45 | View → | |
| Robot Threat Exposure | SocietyMisuse Potential | 40 | 65 | 60 | 50 | View → | |
| Surprise Threat Exposure | SocietyMisuse Potential | 20 | 85 | 70 | 55 | View → | |
| Countries | AIAI Ownership | 25 | 50 | 45 | 65 | View → | |
| Companies | AIAI Ownership | 35 | 45 | 50 | 70 | View → | |
| Shareholders | AIAI Ownership | 30 | 40 | 25 | 60 | View → |
Ultimate Scenarios3 high priority
9 of 9 results
| Rapid | AI Takeover | 40 | 70 | 95 | 85 | View → | |
| Gradual | AI Takeover | 55 | 60 | 80 | 90 | View → | |
| State Actor | Human-Caused Catastrophe | 45 | 55 | 75 | 70 | View → | |
| Rogue Actor | Human-Caused Catastrophe | 35 | 65 | 70 | 45 | View → | |
| Economic Power | Long-term Lock-in | — | — | — | — | View → | |
| Political Power | Long-term Lock-in | — | — | — | — | View → | |
| Epistemics | Long-term Lock-in | — | — | — | — | View → | |
| Values | Long-term Lock-in | — | — | — | — | View → | |
| Suffering Lock In | Long-term Lock-in | — | — | — | — | View → |