Forethought Foundation
Safety OrganizationResearch foundation co-founded by Will MacAskill, focused on longtermism and improving long-run outcomes for humanity. Produces research on AI and existential risk. Published "Design Sketches for Collective Epistemics" (2025).
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Will MacAskill
Scottish moral philosopher, co-founder of the effective altruism movement, and advocate for longtermism and AI safety preparedness.
Existential Risk from AI
Hypotheses concerning risks from advanced AI systems that some researchers believe could result in human extinction or permanent global catastrophe...
Relative Longtermist Value Comparisons
A quantitative framework for comparing the expected value of different longtermist allocations on a common scale.
The Case For AI Existential Risk
The strongest formal argument that AI poses existential risk to humanity. Expert surveys find median extinction probability of 5-14% by 2100, with ...
Carlsmith's Six-Premise Argument
Joe Carlsmith's probabilistic decomposition of AI existential risk into six conditional premises. Originally estimated ~5% risk by 2070, updated to...