| Will Mistral's next model make it to the top 10 models in LLM Arena by the end of 2025? | 45% | Manifold | capability | 2025-12-31 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model end of April 2026? | 1% | Polymarket | capability | 2026-04-30 |
| Will Mistral fold by 2028? | 26% | Manifold | other | 2028-01-01 |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | 14% | Polymarket | ipo | 2026-12-31 |
| Mistral IPO by EOY? | 39% | Manifold | ipo | 2025-12-31 |
| Will Mistral ever deploy its best LLM without releasing its model weights up through AGI? | – | Manifold | safety | 2035-01-01 |
| Will Mistral AI have the best AI model at the end of 2025? | 1% | Polymarket | capability | 2025-12-31 |
| Before 2034, will OpenAI, Anthropic or Mistral have a profitable fiscal year? | 72% | Manifold | revenue | 2034-01-01 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | 10% | Polymarket | capability | 2026-03-31 |
| Will Mistral have the top AI model end of March 2026? (Style Control On) | 1% | Polymarket | capability | 2026-03-31 |
| Mistral 4 (Mistral) release date — Before December 2026? | 90% | Manifold | timeline | 2026-12-01 |
| Will Mistral AI be acquired by the end of 2025? | 28% | Manifold | other | 2025-12-31 |