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Leopold Aschenbrenner

Author of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead predicting AGI by 2027; Columbia University valedictorian at age 19; former OpenAI Superalignment team researcher; founder of $1.5B+ AI-focused hedge fund

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Current Role
Founder and Managing Partner
Born
2001
Age ~25

Expert Positions3 topics

TopicViewEstimateConfidenceDateSource
AGI TimelinesVery shortAGI by 2027highJun 2024Situational Awareness (2024)
P(AI Catastrophe)Moderate~5% existential risk over 20 yearsmedium2024Nobody's On the Ball on AGI Alignment (blog post)
How Hard Is Alignment?Hard but solvableSolvable with massive resourcesmediumJun 2024Situational Awareness (2024)

Organization Roles2

Situational AwarenessFounderCurrent
Co-Founder & Managing Partner
2024 – present
FTX Future Fund
Team Member
Feb 2022 – Nov 2022

Board Seats1

Atlas FellowshipCurrent
President (Board)
2023 – present

Education

B.A. Economics and Mathematics-Statistics, Columbia University (valedictorian, 2021); attended John F. Kennedy School in Berlin

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Quick Assessment

DimensionAssessment
Primary RoleAI researcher, investor, writer
Key AffiliationFormer OpenAI Superalignment team; founder of Situational Awareness LP
Main Contribution"Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead" essay series predicting AGI by 2027
Controversy LevelHigh - fired from OpenAI over disputed leak allegations; polarizing AGI timeline predictions
Current InfluenceManages $1.5B+ hedge fund; prominent voice in AGI discourse
SourceLink
Official Websiteforourposterity.com
Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org
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Facts

4
People
Role / TitleFounder and Managing Partner
Biographical
Notable ForAuthor of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead predicting AGI by 2027; Columbia University valedictorian at age 19; former OpenAI Superalignment team researcher; founder of $1.5B+ AI-focused hedge fund
Birth Year2001
EducationB.A. Economics and Mathematics-Statistics, Columbia University (valedictorian, 2021); attended John F. Kennedy School in Berlin
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