Longterm Wiki
Updated 2026-01-28HistoryData
Page StatusContent
Edited 2 weeks ago2.6k words
54
QualityAdequate
38
ImportanceReference
12
Structure12/15
1810024%10%
Updated every 3 weeksDue in 5 days
Summary

Comprehensive analysis of biological/organoid computing showing current systems (DishBrain with ~800k neurons, Brainoware at 78% speech recognition) achieve 10^6-10^9x better energy efficiency than silicon but face insurmountable scaling challenges. Concludes <1% probability of TAI-relevance due to biological constraints, though raises important ethical questions about consciousness and moral status in computing substrates.

Issues1
QualityRated 54 but structure suggests 80 (underrated by 26 points)

Biological / Organoid Computing

Capability

Biological / Organoid Computing

Comprehensive analysis of biological/organoid computing showing current systems (DishBrain with ~800k neurons, Brainoware at 78% speech recognition) achieve 10^6-10^9x better energy efficiency than silicon but face insurmountable scaling challenges. Concludes <1% probability of TAI-relevance due to biological constraints, though raises important ethical questions about consciousness and moral status in computing substrates.

2.6k words

Overview

Biological/organoid computing uses actual biological neurons as computational substrates rather than silicon. This includes brain organoids (miniature brain-like structures grown from stem cells), neuron-computer interfaces, and "wetware" computing. The field leverages a fundamental efficiency advantage: the human brain performs approximately 10^18 operations per second using only 20 watts, while equivalent artificial neural networks require approximately 8 megawatts—a factor of 10^6 to 10^9 better energy efficiency.

The field made headlines with DishBrain (Cortical Labs, 2022), which demonstrated neurons in a dish learning to play Pong within five minutes of gameplay. Subsequent developments include Brainoware (Indiana University, 2023), achieving 78% speech recognition accuracy, and FinalSpark's Neuroplatform (2024), the first cloud-accessible biocomputing platform with 16 human brain organoids. While fascinating from a scientific perspective, this approach is far from TAI-relevant due to massive scaling challenges—current organoids contain fewer than 5 million neurons, compared to 86 billion in the human brain.

Researchers at Johns Hopkins University coined the term "organoid intelligence" (OI) in 2023, establishing it as a recognized field with an embedded ethics framework. The research raises profound questions about consciousness, moral status, and the boundaries of computation.

Estimated probability of being dominant at transformative AI: <1%

Current Capabilities

Loading diagram...

The diagram above shows the typical architecture of organoid computing systems: biological neurons interface with silicon electronics through multi-electrode arrays (MEAs), with learning driven by dopamine-based reward signals or electrical feedback.

Comparison of Organoid Computing Approaches

SystemDeveloperYearNeuronsKey AchievementInterfaceEnergy Use
DishBrainCortical Labs2022≈800,000Learned Pong in 5 minHigh-density MEA~milliwatts
BrainowareIndiana University2023≈100,00078% speech recognitionMEA + reservoir computing~milliwatts
NeuroplatformFinalSpark202416 x 10,000Cloud-accessible, 100-day lifespan8 electrodes per organoid~microwatts per organoid
Johns Hopkins OIJohns Hopkins2023≈100,000Theoretical frameworkVarious MEAResearch stage

Scale Comparison

SystemNeuronsPower ConsumptionComputational EquivalentStatus
Standard organoidLess than 100,000~microwattsLimited pattern recognitionAchieved
Large organoid≈5 million (max current)~milliwattsSimple learning tasksAchieved
Target for OI10 millionUnknownSophisticated computationGoal
C. elegans (worm)302≈10 microwattsBasic behaviorReference
Fruit fly brain100,000≈10 microwattsComplex navigationReference
Mouse brain70 million≈0.5 wattsMammalian cognitionNot achieved
Human brain86 billion≈20 wattsHuman-level intelligenceFar future

Energy Efficiency Comparison

Computing SystemPowerOperations/secEfficiency (ops/watt)Source
Human brain20 W10^185 x 10^16Biological baseline
Brain organoid~microwattsLimited10^6-10^9x better than siliconFinalSpark
GPT-3 training≈1,300 MWh totalN/AN/AJohns Hopkins research
NVIDIA H100 GPU700 W2 x 10^15≈3 x 10^12Hardware specs
Frontier supercomputer21 MW10^18≈5 x 10^10TOP500

The energy efficiency advantage is dramatic: FinalSpark claims bioprocessors could be "up to a million times more energy-efficient than traditional silicon chips." However, current organoid systems require CO2 incubators and life support infrastructure that partially offsets this advantage at small scales.

Key Properties

PropertyRatingAssessment
White-box AccessLOWBiological systems are inherently opaque
TrainabilityUNKNOWNBiological learning rules, not backprop
PredictabilityLOWBiological systems are noisy and variable
ModularityLOWBiological systems are highly interconnected
Formal VerifiabilityLOWToo complex, poorly understood

Research Landscape

DishBrain (Cortical Labs, 2022)

The DishBrain study, published in Neuron by Kagan et al., demonstrated that approximately 800,000 neurons (from both mouse embryos and human stem cells) grown on multi-electrode arrays could learn to play Pong within five minutes of real-time gameplay. Electrodes indicated ball position through electrical stimulation, and the neurons modified their activity to control the paddle.

AspectDetails
PublicationNeuron, December 2022 (DOI: 10.1016/j.neuron.2022.09.001)
Neuron count≈800,000 (mouse and human-derived)
Learning speedApparent learning within 5 minutes
InterfaceHigh-density multi-electrode array
Key quote"We have shown we can interact with living biological neurons in such a way that compels them to modify their activity, leading to something that resembles intelligence." — Dr. Brett Kagan, Chief Scientific Officer
LimitationsSimple task, requires continuous biological support, inconsistent learning

Brainoware (Indiana University, 2023)

Brainoware, developed by Feng Guo at Indiana University, combined brain organoids with reservoir computing to achieve 78% accuracy on a speech recognition task distinguishing eight Japanese speakers. The system demonstrated unsupervised learning through electrical stimulation.

AspectDetails
PublicationNature Electronics, December 2023
TaskSpeech recognition (8 speakers, 240 audio clips)
Initial accuracy51% (day zero)
Final accuracy78% (after training)
ComparisonStill less accurate than pure artificial neural networks
SignificanceFirst demonstration of reservoir computing with brain organoids

FinalSpark Neuroplatform (2024)

FinalSpark, a Swiss startup, launched the first cloud-accessible biocomputing platform using 16 human brain organoids, each containing approximately 10,000 neurons. The platform uses dopamine-based learning: dopamine is encapsulated in molecular cages and released via light exposure to reward desired behavior.

AspectDetails
LaunchMay 2024
Configuration16 organoids, 10,000 neurons each, 8 electrodes per organoid
Organoid lifespan≈100 days (improved from hours initially)
AccessFree for research; commercial access available
Data collected18+ terabytes from 1,000+ organoids over 3 years
Training methodLight-activated dopamine release
GoalBio-cloud computing network within 8 years

Key Organizations

OrganizationFocusFunding/StatusKey Achievement
Cortical LabsDishBrain, commercial biocomputingVenture-funded startup (Melbourne)First Pong-playing neurons
Indiana UniversityBrainoware, reservoir computingNSF-funded research78% speech recognition
FinalSparkCloud biocomputing platformCommercial startup (Switzerland)First cloud-accessible organoid platform
Johns Hopkins UniversityOrganoid Intelligence theory, ethics$1M NSF grant (2023)Coined "organoid intelligence," ethics framework
DARPAMilitary biocomputing applicationsGovernment programsVarious classified programs

Technical Milestones

MilestoneStatusYearKey Challenge
Growing stable organoidsACHIEVED2013Variability between organoids
Basic neural activity recordingACHIEVED2015Signal-to-noise ratio
Learning demonstration (Pong)ACHIEVED2022Reproducibility
Speech recognitionACHIEVED2023Accuracy vs. silicon AI
Cloud-accessible platformACHIEVED2024Organoid longevity
Vascularization (blood vessels)EMERGINGOngoingKeeping larger organoids alive
10 million neuron organoidsNOT ACHIEVEDGoalOxygen/nutrient delivery
Reliable I/O at scaleNOT ACHIEVEDGoalElectrode density limits

Why It's Unlikely to Lead to TAI

Fundamental Challenges

ChallengeSeverityExplanation
ScaleCRITICALNeed 10,000x+ more neurons
ReliabilityHIGHBiological systems are noisy
SpeedHIGHNeurons are ~million times slower than silicon
ReproducibilityHIGHEach organoid develops differently
MaintenanceHIGHRequires constant biological support
InterfaceHIGHGetting information in/out is hard

Comparison with Silicon AI

FactorBiologicalSilicon AI
Development speedSLOWFAST
ScalabilityVERY HARDRelatively easy
ReproducibilityLOWHIGH
Cost per computationHIGHLOW and decreasing
Current capabilitiesPong (barely)Superhuman at many tasks

Safety Implications

Unique Concerns

The use of human brain tissue for computation raises ethical questions unprecedented in AI safety discourse. As organoids grow more sophisticated, questions about consciousness and moral status become increasingly pressing.

ConcernSeverityTimelineDetails
Consciousness potentialHIGHMedium-termCould organoids develop even rudimentary consciousness or sentience?
Suffering potentialUNKNOWNMedium-termCould organoids experience pain or distress? (Note: brain tissue lacks pain receptors)
Moral statusHIGHNear-termWhat rights or protections should organoids have?
Human tissue ethicsVERY HIGHCurrentUsing human-derived neurons raises consent and dignity questions
Dual useLOWLong-termToo primitive for significant misuse currently
Uncontrolled developmentMEDIUMLong-termSelf-organizing biological systems may develop unexpected properties

Potential Safety Advantages

AdvantageExplanationUncertainty
Human-like cognitionIf biological, might naturally develop human-compatible values and reasoning patternsHIGH
Energy efficiency10^6-10^9x more efficient than silicon could reduce compute governance challengesMEDIUM
Natural learningBiological learning (not backprop/SGD) might avoid some failure modesHIGH
InterpretabilityDecades of neuroscience tools availableMEDIUM
Limited scalingBiological constraints may naturally cap dangerous capabilitiesLOW

Ethical Framework

The Johns Hopkins organoid intelligence team has pioneered an "embedded ethics" approach, partnering with bioethicist Jeffrey Kahn to ensure ethical considerations are integrated from the earliest research stages. This includes continuous assessment by teams of scientists, ethicists, and public representatives.

Frameworks for Moral Status

Boyd and Lipshitz (2024) identify four features grounding moral status: evaluative stance, self-directedness, agency, and other-directedness. Under this framework, consciousness matters morally if it enables these capacities.

FeatureDefinitionOrganoid Status
Evaluative stanceAbility to value states of affairsUnknown
Self-directednessCapacity for goal-directed behaviorDemonstrated (Pong, speech)
AgencyAbility to act on the environmentLimited (via electrodes)
Other-directednessCapacity for social interactionNot demonstrated

Key Ethical Questions

QuestionCurrent StatusResearch Direction
When does an organoid deserve moral status?No consensusBehavioral studies proposed
What size/complexity triggers concern?Unknown (some suggest >10 million neurons)Empirical research needed
How to assess organoid experience?No reliable methodsConsciousness detection research
Should human neurons be used?Highly contestedEthics committees reviewing
What is relationship between donor and organoid?UnclearLegal frameworks developing

Expert Positions

PositionProponentArgument
Precautionary haltElan Ohayon (neuroscientist)"We don't want people doing research where there is potential for something to suffer"
Embedded ethicsThomas Hartung (Johns Hopkins)Continuous ethical assessment as research evolves
Consciousness unlikelyVariousOrganoids lack environmental interaction needed for consciousness
Moral status impossibleSome philosophersOrganoids fundamentally cannot achieve morally relevant properties

Regulatory Status

JurisdictionCurrent StatusTrend
USNo specific organoid intelligence regulations; general stem cell rules applyIncreasing scrutiny
EUGeneral bioethics rules; no specific OI frameworkActive discussion
UKActive research ethics discussion; Human Tissue Authority oversightDeveloping guidance
SwitzerlandFinalSpark operates under existing biotech regulationsPermissive
InternationalNo harmonized standardsFragmented

Trajectory

Why It Might Matter Eventually

  1. Biological computation is efficient - Brains use ~20W
  2. Proof of principle - DishBrain shows learning is possible
  3. Neuroscience advances - Understanding growing
  4. Niche applications - Drug testing, disease modeling

Why It Probably Won't Lead to TAI

  1. Silicon AI is winning decisively - GPT-4 vs. DishBrain
  2. Scaling is monumentally hard - Biology doesn't follow Moore's law
  3. Reproducibility issues - Can't copy a brain organoid like copying weights
  4. Interface problems - Getting data in/out is bottleneck

Key Uncertainties

The field faces fundamental uncertainties that will shape its trajectory:

UncertaintyOptimistic ViewPessimistic ViewResolution Timeline
Scaling feasibilityVascularization will enable 10M+ neuron organoidsBiological limits cap useful size at ≈5M neurons5-10 years
Energy advantage at scale10^6x efficiency persists with infrastructureLife support costs offset gains3-5 years
Learning capabilitiesOrganoids could match/exceed silicon AI on some tasksBiological noise limits useful computation5-10 years
Consciousness emergenceComplex organoids remain unconscious toolsConsciousness emerges unexpectedlyUnknown
Hybrid integrationBio-silicon hybrids combine best of bothInterface limitations prevent useful integration5-10 years
Regulatory acceptanceClear frameworks enable responsible developmentEthical concerns halt research3-5 years

Critical Questions

  1. Could biological computing leapfrog silicon? The energy efficiency advantage is real (10^6-10^9x), but scaling biological systems faces fundamental challenges that silicon does not. Current evidence suggests this is extremely unlikely for general AI, though niche applications may emerge.

  2. What are the ethical boundaries? As organoids grow more complex, ethical questions become unavoidable. The Johns Hopkins team aims to establish frameworks before capabilities outpace ethics, but no consensus exists on when organoids might deserve moral consideration.

  3. Could insights from biocomputing help silicon AI? Understanding biological learning mechanisms (e.g., dopamine-based reward, spike-timing-dependent plasticity) might inform more efficient artificial architectures. This may be the field's most valuable contribution.

  4. Are hybrid approaches viable? Brainoware demonstrates that biological and silicon components can be integrated, but current systems remain limited. The interface bottleneck—getting information in and out of biological tissue—may be the critical constraint.

Sources & References

Primary Research Papers

Ethics and Policy

Industry and Commercial

News and Analysis

Related Pages

Top Related Pages