Longtermist Funders (Overview)
Overview
Longtermist funders provide critical financial support for organizations working on AI safety, existential risk reduction, and related cause areas. The funding landscape is characterized by a relatively small number of major philanthropists and foundations that provide the majority of resources, with additional support from regranting programs and smaller donors.
The field has experienced significant growth in funding over the past decade, though it remains small relative to overall AI development spending. Major shifts occurred in 2022-2023 with the FTX collapse eliminating a significant planned funding source, though other funders have partially filled the gap.
Comprehensive Funder Comparison
By Annual Giving and Focus Area
| Funder | Annual Giving | AI Safety | Global Health | Science | Education | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gates Foundation | ≈$7B | Minimal | $4B | $1B | $500M | $1B |
| Wellcome Trust | ≈$1.5B | Minimal | $500M | $800M | — | $200M |
| Chan Zuckerberg Initiative | ≈$1B | $0 | $200M | $800M | $30M | — |
| Howard Hughes Medical Institute | ≈$1B | $0 | Minimal | $1B | — | — |
| Coefficient Giving | ≈$700M | $65M | $300M | $50M | — | $285M |
| MacArthur Foundation | ≈$260M | Minimal | — | $50M | — | $200M |
| Hewlett Foundation | ≈$473M | $8M | — | — | $100M | $365M |
| Survival and Flourishing Fund | ≈$35M | $30M | — | — | — | $5M |
| Schmidt Futures | ≈$200M | $5M | — | $100M | $50M | $45M |
| Long-Term Future Fund | ≈$5-10M | $5-10M | — | — | — | — |
| Manifund | ≈$2-5M | $1-3M | — | — | — | $1-2M |
Key Individual Philanthropists
| Person | Net Worth | Annual Giving | AI Safety | Lifetime Total | Primary Vehicle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Gates | ≈$130B | ≈$5B | Minimal | $50B+ | Gates Foundation |
| Elon Musk (Funder) | ≈$400B | ≈$250M | Minimal | ≈$8B | Musk Foundation |
| Mark Zuckerberg | ≈$200B | ≈$1B | $0 | ≈$8B | CZI |
| Dustin Moskovitz | ≈$17B | ≈$700M | $65M | $4B+ | Coefficient Giving |
| MacKenzie Scott | ≈$35B | ≈$3-4B | Unknown | $17B+ | Direct giving |
| Jaan Tallinn | ≈$500M | ≈$50M | $40M+ | $100M+ | SFF, direct |
| Vitalik Buterin (Funder) | ≈$500M | ≈$50M | $15M+ | $800M+ | FLI ($665M), MIRI, Balvi |
| Eric Schmidt | ≈$25B | ≈$200M | $5M | $1B+ | Schmidt Futures |
AI Safety Funding Concentration
The AI safety funding landscape is highly concentrated among a few donors:
| Funder | AI Safety (Annual) | % of Total AI Safety Funding |
|---|---|---|
| Coefficient Giving | $65M | ≈55% |
| Survival and Flourishing Fund | $30M | ≈25% |
| Jaan Tallinn (direct) | $10M | ≈8% |
| Vitalik Buterin | $5-15M | ≈5-10% |
| Long-Term Future Fund | $5-10M | ≈5% |
| Other sources | $5-10M | ≈5% |
| Total estimated | ≈$120-150M/year | 100% |
Untapped Philanthropic Potential
Several major philanthropists have significant resources but minimal AI safety engagement:
| Person | Net Worth | Current AI Safety | Potential (1% of net worth) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk | $400B | ≈$0 | $4B/year |
| Mark Zuckerberg | $200B | $0 | $2B/year |
| Bill Gates | $130B | Minimal | $1.3B/year |
| Larry Ellison | $230B | $0 | $2.3B/year |
| Jeff Bezos | $200B | $0 | $2B/year |
If these five individuals allocated just 1% of their net worth annually to AI safety, it would represent $11.6B/year — roughly 80x current total funding.
AI Safety Funders (Detailed)
| Organization | Type | Annual Giving (Est.) | Primary Focus | Key Grantees |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coefficient Giving | Foundation | $65M AI safety | Technical alignment, governance, evals | MIRI, Redwood, METR, GovAI |
| Survival and Flourishing Fund | Donor Lottery | $30M | AI safety, x-risk | MIRI, ARC Evals, SERI, CAIS |
| Long-Term Future Fund | Regranting | $5-10M | AI safety, x-risk research | Individual researchers, small orgs |
| The Foundation Layer Fund | Donor-Advised | $70M+ (cumulative, 100+ grants) | Alignment, nonproliferation, defensive tech, power distribution, talent | Broad AI safety ecosystem |
| AI Safety Tactical Opportunities Fund (AISTOF) | Pooled Fund | $30M+ (cumulative, 150+ grants) | Emerging opportunities across governance, alignment, evals | Rapid-response grantmaking |
| Manifund | Regranting Platform | $2-5M | EA causes broadly | Community projects |
Non-AI-Safety Major Funders
| Organization | Type | Annual Giving | Focus Areas | AI Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gates Foundation | Foundation | $7B | Global health, poverty, education | Minimal |
| Wellcome Trust | Foundation | $1.5B | Health research, science | Minimal |
| Chan Zuckerberg Initiative | LLC | $1B | AI-biology, disease cures | $0 |
| Hewlett Foundation | Foundation | $473M | Environment, democracy, education | $8M (cybersecurity) |
| MacArthur Foundation | Foundation | $260M | Climate, justice, nuclear risk | Minimal |
| Schmidt Futures | LLC | $200M | Science, AI applications, talent | $5M |
AI Safety Funding Landscape
Diagram (loading…)
flowchart TD
subgraph AISafetyDonors["AI Safety Donors (≈120M/year)"]
DM[Dustin Moskovitz<br/>65M/year]
JT[Jaan Tallinn<br/>50M/year]
VB[Vitalik Buterin<br/>15M/year]
end
subgraph AISafetyVehicles["AI Safety Vehicles"]
CG[Coefficient Giving<br/>65M AI safety]
SFF[SFF<br/>30M]
LTFF[LTFF<br/>5-10M]
FLF[Foundation Layer Fund<br/>70M+ cumulative]
MF[Manifund<br/>2-5M]
end
subgraph Recipients["AI Safety Recipients"]
RESEARCH[Research Orgs<br/>MIRI, Redwood, METR]
POLICY[Policy & Governance<br/>GovAI, CAIS, RAND]
FIELD[Field Building<br/>80K, Atlas, SERI]
EVALS[Evaluations<br/>METR, Epoch]
end
DM --> CG
JT --> SFF
VB -->|Direct| RESEARCH
CG --> RESEARCH
CG --> POLICY
CG --> EVALS
SFF --> RESEARCH
SFF --> POLICY
LTFF --> RESEARCH
LTFF --> FIELD
FLF --> RESEARCH
FLF --> POLICY
FLF --> FIELD
MF --> FIELD
style AISafetyDonors fill:#e6f3ff
style AISafetyVehicles fill:#ccffcc
style Recipients fill:#ffffccBroader Philanthropy Landscape (For Context)
Diagram (loading…)
flowchart TD
subgraph MegaDonors["Mega-Donors (Minimal AI Safety)"]
GATES[Bill Gates<br/>130B NW, 5B/year]
MUSK[Elon Musk<br/>400B NW, 250M/year]
ZUCK[Mark Zuckerberg<br/>200B NW, 1B/year]
SCOTT[MacKenzie Scott<br/>35B NW, 4B/year]
end
subgraph MegaFoundations["Major Foundations"]
GATESF[Gates Foundation<br/>7B/year]
CZI[CZI<br/>1B/year]
WELLCOME[Wellcome Trust<br/>1.5B/year]
HEWLETT[Hewlett<br/>473M/year]
end
subgraph NonAIFocus["Primary Focus Areas"]
HEALTH[Global Health<br/>5B+/year]
SCIENCE[Science<br/>3B+/year]
CLIMATE[Climate<br/>500M+/year]
EDU[Education<br/>1B+/year]
end
GATES --> GATESF
ZUCK --> CZI
GATESF --> HEALTH
GATESF --> SCIENCE
CZI --> SCIENCE
WELLCOME --> HEALTH
WELLCOME --> SCIENCE
HEWLETT --> CLIMATE
HEWLETT --> EDU
style MegaDonors fill:#ffe6e6
style MegaFoundations fill:#fff0cc
style NonAIFocus fill:#e6ffe6The Scale Gap
| Category | Annual Funding | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| AI Safety (total) | ≈$120-150M | Highly concentrated |
| Gates Foundation alone | ≈$7,000M | 50x AI safety total |
| AI capabilities (industry) | ≈$50,000M+ | 400x AI safety total |
| Global philanthropy | ≈$500,000M | 4,000x AI safety total |
Pending Major Funding Sources
Anthropic-Derived Capital
Anthropic (Funder) represents potentially the largest future source of longtermist philanthropic capital. At Anthropic's current $350B valuation:
| Source | Estimated Value | EA Likelihood | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Founder pledges (7 founders, 80%) | $39-59B | 2/7 strongly EA-aligned | Only Dario & Daniela have documented EA connections |
| Jaan Tallinn stake | $2-6B (conservative) | Very high | Series A lead investor |
| Dustin Moskovitz stake | $3-9B | Certain | $500M+ already in nonprofit |
| Employee pledges + matching | $20-40B | High (in DAFs) | Historical 3:1 matching reduced to 1:1 for new hires |
| Total risk-adjusted | $25-70B | — | Wide range reflects cause allocation uncertainty |
Key uncertainties:
- Only 2/7 founders have documented strong EA connections—71% of founder equity may go to non-EA causes
- Matching program reduced from 3:1 at 50% to 1:1 at 25% for new employees
- IPO timeline: 2026-2027 expected; capital deployment likely 2027-2035
For comparison, this $25-70B range represents 170-470x current annual AI safety funding of ≈$150M. Even if only 10% ultimately reaches EA causes, it would still be transformative.
See Anthropic (Funder) for comprehensive analysis.
OpenAI Foundation
The OpenAI Foundation holds 26% of OpenAI, worth approximately $130B at current valuations. Unlike Anthropic's pledge-based model, the Foundation has direct legal control over these assets. Cause allocation is uncertain—the Foundation's stated mission focuses on "safe AGI" but specific philanthropic priorities are undisclosed.
Recent Trends
2024-2026 Developments:
- Coefficient Giving launched $40M AI Safety Request for Proposals (January 2025)
- SFF allocated $34.33M, with 86% going to AI-related projects
- Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy) rebranded in November 2025
- LTFF continued steady grantmaking at ≈$5M annually
- Anthropic founders announced 80% donation pledges (January 2026)
- The Foundation Layer launched (early 2026) — a comprehensive philanthropic guide by Tyler John (Effective Institutions Project) synthesizing five years of AI safety advisory into a donor guidebook, covering alignment, nonproliferation, defensive tech, power distribution, and talent
Post-FTX Landscape:
- Future Fund's collapse eliminated ≈$160M in committed grants
- Some organizations faced funding crises; others found alternative support
- Field-wide diversification of funding sources
References
A comprehensive guide by Tyler John (Effective Institutions Project) designed to persuade major philanthropists to fund AI safety work. It outlines AGI timelines, three categories of existential risk (loss of control, malicious use, power concentration), and proposes a five-pillar philanthropic strategy covering alignment science, nonproliferation, defensive technology, power distribution, and talent mobilization.