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Anthropic

Frontier AI Lab
Founded Jan 2021 (5 years old)HQ: San Francisco, CAanthropic.com

Also known as: Anthropic PBC, Anthropic AI

Prediction Markets

35
QuestionProbabilityPlatformCategoryResolves
Anthropic IPO in 2026? (part of IPOs in 2026 market)34%Manifoldipo2026-12-31
Claude 5 released by...?18%Polymarkettimeline2026-04-30
Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025?Metaculuscapability2025-12-31
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?Polymarketcapability2026-06-30
Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030?Manifoldother2030-12-31
What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)Manifoldipo2026-12-31
Will Anthropic file an S-1 before July 1, 2026?Metaculusipo2026-07-01
Date Anthropic reaches ASL-4?Metaculussafety2027-12-30
Claude 5 released on...?Polymarkettimeline2026-12-31
Outcomes of the Anthropic vs. US government feud?Manifoldregulation2026-07-01
Claude 5 release dateMetaculustimeline2027-12-30
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?16%Polymarketregulation2026-04-30
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?83%Polymarketvaluation2026-12-31
Claude 5 (Anthropic) release dateManifoldtimeline
Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO?24%Manifoldipo2026-12-31
Claude 4.6 (Anthropic) release dateManifoldtimeline
How many OpenAI or Anthropic model versions will be released?Metaculuscapability
Will Anthropic's first image generation capability be based on an in-house image model?Manifoldcapability2026-12-31
Before July 1, 2025, will Anthropic announce that it is planning an IPO?Metaculusipo2025-07-01
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity's Last Exam by June 30?93%Polymarketcapability2026-06-30
Anthropic acquired before 2027?Polymarketother2026-12-31
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Polymarketipo2026-12-31
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?56%Polymarketipo2027-12-31
Will Anthropic escape the 'supply chain risk' designation by EOY 2026?81%Manifoldregulation2026-12-31
What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy)Manifoldvaluation2026-12-31
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not. (Forbes 2026 AI predictions)33%Manifoldipo2026-12-31
At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)Manifoldipo2026-12-31
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (by June 30, 2026)?5%Polymarketipo2026-06-30
When will Anthropic IPO?Manifoldipo
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day (by December 31, 2027)?Polymarketvaluation2027-12-31
Will Anthropic reach $4B annualized revenue by end of 2025?54%Manifoldrevenue2025-12-31
Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry (August 27, 2026)?97%Manifoldregulation2026-08-27
Will Anthropic IPO before 2030?Manifoldipo2030-01-01
Will the next release of Claude be Sonnet 4.7?Manifoldcapability2026-12-31
Will Anthropic make Claude 5 available via a public API before May 1, 2026?Metaculuscapability2026-05-01