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Key People

1
JM
CEO and President

Divisions

12
NameDivisionTypeStatusSourceNotesSlugWebsiteLeadStartDateSource check
AI Policyprogram-areaactiverand.orgAI policy research covering governance, regulation, and societal impacts of AI. Part of RAND's broader technology policy portfolio.
International Security & Defenseprogram-areaactiverand.orgNational security, defense strategy, and geopolitics research. One of RAND's founding focus areas.
Technology & Applied Sciencesdepartmentactiverand.orgResearch on emerging technologies, cybersecurity, space, and applied science policy.
RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI)program-areaactiverand.orgCrowdsourced forecasts including superforecasters on AI timelines and geopolitical AI developments.rand-forecastingrand.org
RAND China Research Centerdepartmentactiverand.orgDistinguished Tang Chair director (Dec 2024). China AI industrial policy, tech competition, chip exports.rand-china-researchrand.orgJude Blanchette
Center for the Geopolitics of AGIdepartmentactiverand.org'Day After AGI' exercises. US-China AI competition, nuclear stability, strategic instability research.rand-geopolitics-agirand.orgJoel B. Predd
Global and Emerging Risks Division (GER)departmentactiverand.orgRAND's newest division. Houses CAST, Geopolitics of AGI, China Research, Forecasting Initiative. VP: Matan Chorev (March 2026). Previously led by Jim Mitre.rand-gerrand.orgMatan Chorev
National Security Research Division (NSRD)departmentactiverand.orgResearch for OSD, Joint Staff, Unified Combatant Commands, defense agencies, USMC, Navy.rand-nsrd
RAND National Defense Research Institute (NDRI)departmentactiverand.orgFFRDC for OSD, Joint Staff, and defense agencies.rand-ndri
RAND Center on AI, Security, and Technology (RAND CAST)departmentactiverand.orgFormerly TASP. Focus: frontier AI policy, governance, biosecurity, cybersecurity. Includes fellows program.rand-castrand.orgSella Nevo
RAND Arroyo Centerdepartmentactiverand.orgU.S. Army's sole FFRDC. Founded 1982.rand-arroyo1982
RAND Project AIR FORCE (PAF)departmentactiverand.orgFounded 1946 — the only Air Force FFRDC. RAND's original mission.rand-paf1946

Publications

25
TitlePublicationTypeAuthorsUrlPublishedDateSourceNotesIsFlagshipSource check
Building a US National Strategy for the AI ErareportMichael J. Mazarr, Anca Agachirand.org2025-11rand.org
Evaluating Global Technical Options for Countering a Rogue AIreportMichael J. D. Vermeerrand.org2025-11rand.orgEvaluates EMP, internet shutdown, specialized AI as countermeasures
Governance Approaches to Securing Frontier AIreportIan Mitch, Matthew Malone, Karen Schwindt, Gregory Smith, Wesley Hurd, Henry Bradley, James Gimbirand.org2025-10rand.org
The Artificial General Intelligence Race and International SecurityreportJim Mitre, Michael C. Horowitz, Natalia Henry, Emma Borden, Joel B. Preddrand.org2025-09rand.orgMulti-author volume with Kreps, Brundage, Fearon. Proposes 'AI cartel' governance model.
Artificial Intelligence and the Social Contractreportrand.org2025-08rand.org
Full Stack: China's Evolving Industrial Policy for AIreportKyle Chan, Gregory Smith, Jimmy Goodrich, Gerard DiPippo, Konstantin Pilzrand.org2025-06rand.org
Understanding the AI Diffusion FrameworkreportLennart Heimrand.org2025-01rand.orgAI Diffusion Framework analysis, country tiering, compute as strategic leverage
Steps Toward AI Governance: Insights from 2024 EqualAI Summitreportrand.org2025rand.org
Strengthening Emergency Preparedness and Response for AI Loss of Control IncidentsreportElika Somani, Anjay Friedman, Henry Wu, Marianne Lurand.org2025rand.orgEmergency response framework when human oversight fails to constrain autonomous AI
AI, Cybersecurity, and National Security: The Fierce Urgency of Nowreportrand.org2025rand.org
On the Extinction Risk from Artificial IntelligencereportMichael J. D. Vermeer, Emily Lathrop, Alvin Moonrand.org2025rand.orgScenario-based extinction threat analysis via nukes, pathogens, geoengineering
Bridging the AI Governance Gap: US and China's Divergent ApproachesreportOliver Guest, Kevin Weirand.org2024-12rand.org
Securing AI Model Weights: Preventing Theft and Misuse of Frontier ModelsreportSella Nevo, Dan Lahav, Ajay Karpur, Yogev Bar-On, Henry Alexander Bradley, Jeff Alstottrand.org2024-05rand.org38 attack vectors, 5 security levels. Playbook for frontier lab security.
Generative AI Threats to Information IntegrityreportTodd C. Helmus, Bilva Chandrarand.org2024-04rand.org
Strategic Competition in the Age of AIreportrand.org2024rand.org
AI and the Future of WorkreportTobias Sytsma, Melanie Zaber, Rachel Slamarand.org2024rand.org
Hardware-Enabled Governance MechanismsreportTim Fist, Lennart Heimrand.org2024rand.org
AI Hardware Governance Workshop ReportreportRAND Corporationrand.org2024rand.org
Historical Analogues That Can Inform AI GovernancereportMichael J. D. Vermeerrand.org2024rand.org
The Race to AGI: Geopolitical ImplicationsreportRAND Corporationrand.org2024rand.org
AGI and the Rise and Fall of NationsreportRAND Corporationrand.org2024rand.org
AGI's Five Hard National Security Problemsreportrand.org2024rand.org
The Operational Risks of AI in Large-Scale Biological Attacks: Results of a Red-Team StudyreportChristopher A. Mouton, Caleb Lucas, Ella Guestrand.org2024rand.orgLLMs did NOT measurably increase bio-attack risk. Informed White House AI policy.
Military Applications of AI: Ethical Concerns in an Uncertain WorldreportForrest E. Morgan, Benjamin Boudreaux, Andrew J. Lohn, Mark Ashby, Christian Curriden, Kelly Klima, Derek Grossmanrand.org2020rand.orgCommissioned by USAF. Compares US, China, Russia AI military development.
How Might Artificial Intelligence Affect the Risk of Nuclear War?paperEdward Geist, Andrew J. Lohnrand.org2018-04rand.orgFoundational: AI could upend nuclear deterrence by 2040
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Records38 in 3 collections