Longterm Wiki
Updated 2026-01-05HistoryData
Page StatusAI Transition Model
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AI Ownership

Entry

AI Ownership

Model RoleRoot Factor (AI System)
CharacterDistribution factor
Key DimensionsCountries, Companies, Shareholders
Related
ai-transition-model-scenarios
Long-term TrajectoryLong-term Lock-in
ai-transition-model-parameters
AI Control Concentration

AI Ownership refers to who controls the most powerful AI systems and their outputs. Concentration among a few companies, countries, or individuals creates different risks than broad distribution. Ownership structure shapes incentives, accountability, and the distribution of AI benefits.

For interactive exploration of how AI Ownership relates to other factors, see the AI Transition Model Graph.

Key Dimensions

Relationship to Scenarios

AI Ownership primarily affects Long-term Lock-in scenarios:

  • Concentrated ownership shapes what values and power structures get entrenched
  • Ownership patterns determine accountability and reversibility
  • Distribution of AI benefits affects social stability

Also affects:

  • AI Takeover: Concentrated ownership could help or hurt depending on the actor
  • Human-Caused Catastrophe: Depends on who controls AI and their intentions

Key Debates

DebateQuestion
Concentration effectsIs AI lab concentration good (easier to regulate) or bad (single points of failure)?
Profit vs safetyCan profit-motivated companies be trusted with AI safety?
Open source roleDoes open source AI democratize capability or make dangerous systems accessible?
US-China dynamicsIs competition inevitable, or can cooperation emerge?

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