Longterm Wiki

Wiki Gap Analysis — February 2026

Wiki Gap Analysis — February 2026

Systematic review of coverage gaps across the wiki's 639 pages, combining crux gaps list output (existing pages needing insight extraction) with manual topic coverage analysis to identify both under-developed existing pages and entirely missing topics.

Executive Summary

The wiki has strong structural coverage (639 pages across 25 categories) but significant gaps in three areas:

  1. Insight extraction: 386 pages (of 519 tracked) lack insights. 203 high-importance pages have zero insights.
  2. Fast-moving topics: Chinese AI labs, test-time compute, frontier model transparency, and recent incidents are under-represented.
  3. Category imbalances: Incidents (2 pages), forecasting (2 pages), and capabilities (11 pages) are notably thin relative to their importance.
DimensionCoverageKey Gap
Policy & governance~70%Implementation tracking, enforcement status
Safety techniques~55%Post-2024 methods, effectiveness evidence
Frontier evaluations~40%Specific benchmarks, scaling analysis
AI labs & orgs~65%Chinese labs, emerging players
Capabilities~45%Vision/multimodal, inference-time compute
Incidents~5%Only 2 incident pages despite many documented cases
Open-source safety~15%Downstream risks, audit methods
International governance~40%Deep coordination, compliance tracking

Part 1: Missing or Under-Covered Pages

A prioritized list of 100 missing pages is maintained in the Suggested Pages dashboard, ranked by numeric priority (1–100) based on how often each topic is mentioned across existing pages and editorial importance to AI safety coverage.

The top 10 gaps by priority:

PriorityTopicMentionsStatus
100AI Governance183Sub-topics exist, no umbrella page
99Reinforcement Learning81No standalone page
98Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG)404No page
97GPT-4193No page
96Claude (Model Family)186No page
95Frontier Model (Concept)161No definition page
94Training Data111No page
93Safety Evaluations106No page
92Misalignment Potential110110 EntityLinks, no page
91Civilizational Competence104104 EntityLinks, no page

See the full list of 100 suggested pages for details.


Part 2: Existing High-Priority Pages Needing Insight Extraction

From crux gaps list, the top 20 existing pages with highest gap scores (importance × quality, zero insights):

RankScoreImpQualPageCategory
11668791Intervention Portfolioresponses
21628591Scheming & Deception Detectionresponses
31598587OpenAI Foundationorganizations
41578291Capability Elicitationresponses
51578291AI Safety Casesresponses
61578291Bioweaponsrisks
71578291Multipolar Traprisks
81518773Intervention Effectiveness Matrixmodels
91519068Evaluation Awarenessresponses
101517991Reward Hackingrisks
111518578Sleeper Agents: Training Deceptive LLMsrisks
121498575AI Controlresponses
131499065Eval Saturation & The Evals Gapresponses
141497891Pause Advocacyresponses
151497891Sandboxing / Containmentresponses
161497891Structured Access / API-Onlyresponses
171497891Compute Thresholdsresponses
181497891Tool-Use Restrictionsresponses
191497891Voluntary Industry Commitmentsresponses
201498575Deceptive Alignmentrisks

Recommended batch for insight extraction:

Run crux insights extract on these pages to populate the insights data layer. The responses category is most under-extracted (4/136 pages = 3% coverage).


Part 3: Category-Level Coverage Statistics

From crux gaps stats:

CategoryPagesWith InsightsCoveragePriority
responses13643%CRITICAL
organizations10600%CRITICAL
models7800%HIGH
risks6000%HIGH
people4000%Medium
intelligence-paradigms1600%Medium
capabilities111091%Low (well covered)
debates11327%Medium
metrics10880%Low (well covered)
cruxes55100%Done
future-projections5480%Low
incidents200%HIGH (few pages)
forecasting22100%Done (but few pages)

Key finding: 93% of pages (482/519) have zero insights. The insight extraction pipeline should prioritize the responses (136 pages) and organizations (106 pages) categories.


Part 4: Recommended Action Plan

Immediate actions (next sessions)

  1. Create top-priority pages (priority 90+) via crux content create — see Suggested Pages
  2. Expand adversarial-robustness stub via crux content improve
  3. Run insight extraction on top-20 gap-scored pages

Short-term actions

  1. Create priority 70–89 pages: DeepSeek, Hallucination, Multimodal AI, Jailbreaking, etc.
  2. Run insight extraction on all 0-insight pages with importance >= 80 (203 pages)

Medium-term actions

  1. Work through priority 40–69 pages from the Suggested Pages dashboard
  2. Systematic insight extraction across remaining categories

Generated by crux gaps list, crux gaps stats, and manual topic coverage analysis on 2026-02-13.