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Arb Research is a small AI safety consulting firm that produces methodologically rigorous research and evaluations, particularly known for their AI Safety Camp impact assessment and forecasting work. While their contributions are solid and well-documented, they represent incremental progress rather than field-shaping contributions.

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Forecasting Research Institute (FRI)MetaculusPolymarketAI ImpactsRethink PrioritiesCentre for Long-Term Resilience

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