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Longterm Wiki

QURI (Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute)

Safety Organization
Founded 2019 (7 years old)HQ: Berkeley, CAquantifieduncertainty.org
Output & Research
Projects8

Projects

8
ProjectDescriptionStatusLinks
SquiggleDomain-specific programming language for probabilistic estimation with native distribution types and Monte Carlo sampling.active
MetaforecastForecast aggregation platform combining predictions from 10+ sources into a unified search interface.abandoned
SquiggleAILLM-powered tool for generating probabilistic models in Squiggle from natural language descriptions.active
Foretold.ioA prediction platform meant for large sets of judgmental predictions. Ozzie Gooen worked on this for much of 2018-2020. Later work halted to favor smaller applications and research. Currently not functioning.abandoned
Utility Function ExtractorA tool to elicit comparisons from people and convert those into a simple utility function. Used privately for occasional experiments.archived
AI Safety PapersA UI on top of an existing database about AI Safety Papers. The underlying database is not being updated, so the data is fairly old (2020).archived
Longterm WikiA self-referential documentation page describing the Longterm Wiki platform itself—a strategic intelligence tool with ~550 pages, crux mapping of ~50 uncertainties, and quality scoring across 6 dimensions. Features include entity cross-linking, interactive causal diagrams, and structured YAML database layer for structured entity data.active
RoastMyPostLLM-powered tool for evaluating blog posts, research papers, and other written content. Runs multiple AI evaluator personas (skeptic, methodologist, clarity checker, etc.) and produces structured feedback with scores. Free and open-source. Launched December 2025.active