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Longterm Wiki

Metaculus

OrganizationGood(3)
Forecasting platform and community
Resources
14
Citing pages
23
Tracked domains
1

Credibility Rating

3/5
Good(3)
Good quality. Reputable source with community review or editorial standards, but less rigorous than peer-reviewed venues.

Tracked Domains

metaculus.com

Resources (14)

14 resources
AuthorsSummary
Metaculus Forecasting Platformweb—S13
Metaculus Question: When Will the First General AI System Be Devised, Tested, and Publicly Announced?web—S4
Metaculus AGI Questionweb—S2
Metaculus prediction marketsweb—S2
Metaculus (Dec 2024)web—S2
Metaculus AI Forecastingweb—S1
Metaculus AI forecastsweb—S1
Forecasting analysis by Metaculus aggregatesweb—S1
Metaculus AGI forecastsweb—S1
Metaculus AGI questionsweb—S1
Transformative AI Dateweb—S1
Metaculus resolution councilweb—S1
Metaculus AI questionsweb—S0
Metaculus Forecast: When Will AI-Driven Human Extinction Happen?web—S0

Citing Pages (23)

AGI DevelopmentAGI TimelineAI Acceleration Tradeoff ModelAI-Augmented ForecastingAI Forecasting Benchmark TournamentAI TimelinesAI AlignmentCapability-Alignment Race ModelThe Case For AI Existential RiskAI Risk Critical Uncertainties ModelEpoch AIFuture of Life Institute (FLI)Frontier AI Company Comparison (2026)International AI Coordination Game ModelLong-Timelines Technical WorldviewMetaculusNovel / Unknown ApproachesPower-Seeking AIPrediction Markets (AI Forecasting)AI Risk Activation Timeline ModelSelf-Improvement and Recursive EnhancementAI Safety Solution CruxesWorldview-Intervention Mapping
Publication ID: metaculus
Metaculus | Publications | Longterm Wiki